Free Sports Pick – Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks

milwaukee brewersMilwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

The Milwaukee Brewers head into Arizona for a four game series with the Diamondbacks. So far this season these two teams have met three times with the Diamondbacks winning two of those games. The Brewers have struggled against the Diamondbacks over the past few seasons losing 8 of the last 10 meetings overall and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 in Arizona.

Head to Head Trends

Diamondbacks are 8-2 on the last 10 meetings.
Brewers are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5th in the National League West 14 games back of the San Francisco Giants. The Diamondbacks have had some major struggles at home this season where they are just 12-24 versus on the road where they are actually 18-18. When playing at home the Diamondbacks average 4.11 runs per game on offense and allow 5.06 runs per game on defense so pitching seems to be their main problem. Starting today for the Diamondbacks is Brandon McCarthy who is 1-9 with a 5.29 ERA in 14 starts this season. McCarthy’s win/loss record is pretty bad with just one win in 14 starts and this is mostly his fault for pitching poorly but some blame can also go to the offense who are giving McCarthy just 2.6 runs of support on average.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends

Diamondbacks are 13-27 in their last 40 home games.
Diamondbacks are 5-21 in McCarthys last 26 starts.
Diamondbacks are 1-8 in McCarthys last 9 home starts.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 1st in the NL Central 3.5 games up on the St Louis Cardinals. The Brewers are a solid team but I have my doubts it they will still be in 1st place at the end of the season. The Brewers started out the season winning 20 of their first 27 games but since the start of May they are just 21-21. When playing away from home the Brewers average 4.46 runs per game on offense and allow 4.29 runs per game on defense. Starting for the Brewers is Wily Peralta who is 6-5 with a 2.90 ERA on the season. Peralta has also been the recipient of some poor run support. Over his last 10 starts the Brewers have scored three runs or less in 8 of those games.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Brewers are 2-5 in Peraltas last 7 starts.

I like the Milwaukee Brewers in this one today. They may not be the strongest 1st place team in the league but they are still a 1st place team. You also have an Arizona team who are not very good in general but especially at home where they actually have the worst home record in all of baseball. The pitching matchup also heavily favors the Brewers with Peralta over the McCarthy who has struggled this season.  Make money by betting on the Brewers.